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10.27.2020 11 new Morning Note posts under Morning Note (10) and General (1)

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"CAPIS Morning Note – 9/29/20 Let’s Get Ready To Rumble!! Debates At 9:00 P.M. EDT"

posted by CAPIS on 09/28/2020 at 6:44 pm

by CAPIS

09/28/2020 at 6:44 pm

Correction Review – On Monday we looked at the various moving averages on the S&P 500. It was a struggle and we needed to see improvement to get out of jail here. Monday saw some improvement as all indexes move above their 10 day moving averages and the NASDAQ 100 cleared its 50 day moving average. We update this table each day below for your review.

Covid-19 Update With Latest Data From Friday 

Total Cases 7,117,251 from 7,080,459

Recovered: 2,794,608 from 2,766,280

Deaths 197,129 from 196,869

New Cases reported 36,741 from 35,289

Tests 1,033,817 from 806,258

Deaths 260 from 866

Current Hospitalizations 29,539 from 29,432

source COVID tracking project

Capital Raises

IPOs Priced:  None of note.

Secondaries Priced: None of note.

Notes Priced of note: None of note.

Common Stock filings: BEAM HYMC  of note.

Selling Shareholders of note: PRTY

Mixed Shelf Offerings: None of note.

Convertible Offering Files: None of note.

Senior Notes Filed: None of note.

Earnings After The Close:

Beats:

UNFI +0.34 of note.

Misses:

None of note.

Hourly Action – We continue with volatile action. Updated 9/28 close.

News After The Close:

ICF International (ICF) wins NIH contract with $49 million ceiling.

Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) disclosed at 15.2% stake in Snowflake (SNOW).

Boise Cascade (BCC) declares a supplemental dividend of $1.60.

Chicago eases some Covid-19 restrictions on restaurants, bars and fitness clubs.

United (UAL) and pilots reach agreement over furloughs and pay.

Dividend Increase: 

Reinstates Or Initiates Buybacks:

Guides Higher: BIG 

Stock Split:

What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value. We will still indicate the fair value direction.

S&P 500 +1  Dow Jones Industrial Average -4 NASDAQ +11  Russell 2000 +4.41. Fair values are lower.  Asia mixed and Europe lower. VIX October futures are at 31.15 from 30.85 this morning. Current VIX is at 26.19 from 26.38.

Gold and silver higher with copper lower. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures lower. Natural Gas is lower. $ is lower vs Euro, lower vs Pound and higher vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $139.69 from $139.59 with yields at from 0.666%.

Positive Sectors On Monday:  Real Estate, Consumer Cyclical and Financials of note.

Negative Sectors On Monday:  None of note.

One Month Winners: Real Estate, Consumer Cyclical and Industrials of note.

Three Month Winners: Consumer Cyclicals, Materials and Technology of note.

Six Month Winners: Consumer Cyclical, Technology, Materials and Healthcare of note.

Twelve Month Winners: Technology, Consumer Cyclical and Healthcare of note.

Year to Date: Consumer Cyclical, Technology, Communication Services and Materials of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest)

Today After The Close:  CMTL MU PRGS SNX of note.

Wednesday Morning: EPAC of note.

Gap Up:

ORGS +16%, AERI +9%, GPMT +6%, SRNE +6%, BLDP +5%, BEDU +4%, DYN +4%, RLGT +4% of note.

Gap Down:

BEAM -7%, PRTY -6% of note.

Earnings This Morning Of Note

Beat:

ANGO +0.09, INFO +0.08, MKC +0.01 of note.

Missed:

None of note.

Still To Report:

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Line Chart –  Updated 9/28.

The Erlanger Value Lines track the intraday range of resistance, pivot and support used by Algo/HFT Traders. Each day we show where we closed within the range. Updated through 9/28 close. The Erlanger Value Line are available in Bloomberg for your review. Simply visit the Bloomberg App store at APP(GO) then find Erlanger Research and setup a trial. The correction cannot end until the EVL Range becomes normal again, i.e. no blue highlighting.

Courtesy of Phil Erlanger Research Inc.

Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story. 

Stocks Making The Biggest Moves – MCK AMZN BIG WMT. (CNBC)

5 Things To Know Ahead of Today’s Trading. (CNBC)

Corona Virus Update: More U.S. states seeing an increase in cases. (CNBC)

Covid-19 has now killed more than 1 million globally. (CNBC)

House Democrats introduce $2.2 trillion stimulus plan, but Republicans say still too high. (CNBC)

Walmart Canada  (WMT) more than triples order of Tesla (TSLA) Semi Trucks.

29% of voters say Presidential Debates will help them decide who to vote for. (WSJ)

California Fires scorch Sonoma and Napa impacting wineries and for evacuations. (CNBC)

Stock Index Trading

Current through 9/28 close. All indexes rose above their 5 day moving averages.

Bold means a change from prior day.

Economic

September Consumer Confidence is due out at 10:00 a.m. EDT and is expected to rise to 88.5 from 84.8.

Weekly API Petroleum Data is due out at 4:30 p.m. EDT.

Geopolitical & Related

President Trump will head to Cleveland, Ohio at 2:30 p.m. EDT for today’s Presidential Debate.

The first Presidential Debate happens between President Trump and Democratic Candidate Former Vice President Joe Biden in Cleveland, Ohio at 9:00 p.m. EDT.

Federal Reserve New York President John Williams will speak at 9:10 a.m. and 1:00 p.m. EDT.

Federal Reserve Chicago President Charles Evans will speak at 11:00 a.m. EDT.

Investor Events & Conference Calls

GALT KDP (Conference Call) SHW NI EXC EVH BLDP  (Investor Day) AXGN( @ ASSH) CYAD BBIO (R&D Day)

Sellside Conferences: Credit Suisse 2020 Autos Conference (9/28-9/30) Wolfe Research Utilities & Midstream Conference (9/29-10/1)

Industry Conferences: World Vaccine Congress (9/28-10/01) VMworld (9/29-10/1)

M&A

Molina Healthcare (MOH)  to buy Affinity Health Plan for $380 million.

Upgrades & Downgrades For Tuesday – 9/29

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