09.30.2022 11 new Morning Note posts under Morning Note (10) and CAPIS Insights (1)

Morning Note


Morning Note

"CAPIS Morning Note – 10/14/20: Futures Higher, Lower And Now Higher"

posted by CAPIS on 10/14/2020 at 8:09 am


10/14/2020 at 8:09 am

Market Tone: Stocks rebounded nicely last week and yesterday were lower but did not close at the lows of the day. Overnight the S&P 500 rose until 5:00 a.m. EDT and then pulled back before getting back to flat as we published. Earnings season has kicked off and it is a strong start with the reports but the reactions are mixed.

Covid-19 Update With Latest Data From Monday 

Total Cases 7,817,857 from 7,770,673

Recovered: 3,124,593 from 3,106,728

Deaths 207,557 from 206,881

Tests 894,411 from 1,003,578

Daily Deaths 669 from 663

Current Hospitalizations 36,034 from 35,056

source COVID tracking project

Capital Raises

IPOs Priced: None of note.

Secondaries Priced:  RCL ATEC  of note.

Notes Priced of note: NVMI of note.

Common Stock filings: ETON ATEC SPNS OCUL LAZY  of note.

Selling Shareholders of note: RPRX

Mixed Shelf Offerings:  SRC of note.

Convertible Offering Files:  None of note.

Senior Notes Filed: None of note.

Earnings After The Close:


None of note.


None of note.

News After The Close:

Several insurance companies update catastrophic loss estimates THG RNR ACGL AXS.

Six Flags (SIX) reduces workforce by 240.

Supreme Court rules that Census count can end early. Win for Trump Administration.

University of Florida suspends activities as Covid-19 cases rise.

Dividend Increase: CMI

Dividend Suspended: 

Reinstates Or Initiates Buybacks: 

Guides Higher: 

Hourly Action –  Updated 10/12.

What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value. We will still indicate the fair value direction.

S&P 500 +6  Dow Jones Industrial Average +87 NASDAQ +50 Russell 2000 +5. Fair values are lower.  Asia higher and Europe lower. Current VIX is at 26.07 from 25.07. 3 month VIX Future is at 28.35 from 27.98.

Gold, silver and copper higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures lower. Natural Gas is lower. $ is lower vs Euro, lower vs Pound and lower vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $139.25 from $138.92 with yields at 0.716% from 0.779%.

Positive Sectors On Tuesday: Communication Services and Consumer Cyclical of note.

Negative Sectors On Tuesday:  Real Estate, Financials and Energy of note. 

One Month Winners: Utilities, Real Estate, Industrials and Materials of note.

Three Month Winners: Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology and Real Estate of note.

Six Month Winners: Consumer Cyclical, Technology, Materials and Industrials of note.

Twelve Month Winners: Technology, Consumer Cyclical and Healthcare of note.

Year to Date: Consumer Cyclical, Technology, Communication Services, Healthcare and Materials of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest)

Today After The Close: UAL AA WAFD SNBR of note.


Gap Up: 

MDRX +42% TLC +37% THTX + 11% GME +8% PPC +7% BBBY +7% of note.

Gap Down:

SRNE -10% ATEC -9% OCUL -9% LAZY -6% of note.

Earnings This Morning Of Note


GS +4.18, PNC 1.28, UNH +0.43, ASML +0.29, USB +0.08, BAC +0.01 of note.


WFC (-0.06) of note.

Still To Report: PGR

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Line Chart –  Updated 10/13 Close. The  A/D line was mixed for a second day in a row. 

Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story. 

Stocks Making The Biggest Moves – BAC UNH GS (CNBC)

5 Things To Know Before The Market Opens Today. (CNBC)

Coronavirus update: Germany economic forecast lowered due to Covid-19. (CNBC)

Trump Administration is pushing for herd immunity. (NYT)

ConocoPhillips (COP) looking to buy Concho Resources (CXO). (Bloomberg)

AMC Entertainment (AMC) could run out of cash by year end. (Bloomberg)

Walmart (WMT) to limit store capacity to 20% during Black Friday. (Bloomberg)

Dollar General (DG) to open new chain hitting wealthy suburban shoppers. (CNN)

Stock Index Trading

Current through 10/13 close. All indexes remains  positive.

Bold means a change from prior day.

The Erlanger Value Lines track the intraday range of resistance, pivot and support used by Algo/HFT Traders. Each day we show where we closed within the range. Updated through 10/12 close. The Erlanger Value Line are available in Bloomberg for your review. Simply visit the Bloomberg App store at APP(GO) then find Erlanger Research and setup a trial. The correction cannot end until the EVL Range becomes normal again, i.e. no blue highlighting. Yesterday was the first day in 26 sessions where all indexes were below their historical range.


Weekly API Petroleum Institute Data came out at 4:30 p.m. EDT yesterday and .

September PPI is due out at 8:30 a.m. EDT and is expected to fall to 0.1% from 0.3%.

Weekly Crude Oil Inventories are due out at 10:30 a.m. EDT.

The latest Federal Reserve Beige Book is due out at 2:00 p.m. EDT.

Geopolitical & Related

President Trump delivers remarks to several economic clubs in the Rose Garden at 11:00 a.m. EDT. Then the president head to Des Moines to speak at 7:00 p.m. EDT.

Senate Judiciary Committee Hearings on Supreme Court Nominee Amy Coney Barrett continues today with questioning starting at 9:00 a.m. EDT.

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida speaks at 9:00 a.m. EDT.

Federal Reserve Governor Randall Quarles speaks at 3:00 p.m. EDT.

Investor Meetings & Conferences

ESTC ZM BIOL  (Analyst Day)

Sellside Conferences:

Industry Conferences: Annual Child Neurology Society & 16th  International Child Neurology Society Congress Meeting (10/12-10/23) Cowen Annual Therapeutics Conference (10/13-10/14)


Upgrades & Downgrades For Wednesday – 10/14


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