09.30.2022 11 new Morning Note posts under Morning Note (10) and CAPIS Insights (1)

Morning Note


Morning Note

"CAPIS Morning Note – 1/19/21: Futures Strong This Morning As We Enter Inauguration Week"

posted by CAPIS on 01/19/2021 at 8:06 am


01/19/2021 at 8:06 am

Covid-19 Statistics: 

Total Cases 23,778,275 from  23,627,890

Deaths 390,262 from 388,869

New Tests 2,079,206 from 1,836,498

New Cases 150,385 from 185,518 with positivity rate of 7.2% (down 2.9)

Daily Deaths 1,393

Current Hospitalizations 123,848 from 124,387

Capital Raises:

IPOs Priced:

Secondaries Priced:   None of note.

Notes Priced of note:  None of note.

Common Stock filings:  CRSP PRPH SENS of note.

Selling Shareholders of note:  KERN of note.

Mixed Shelf Offerings: SOL EYPT KIN of note.

Convertible Offering Files:  None of note.

Earnings Out After The Close Of Note:

Beats: none

Flat:  none

Misses: none

News After The Close:

Lockheed Martin (LMT) wins $250 million Missile Defense Contract.

Index Changes TRMB to S&P 500, YETI to S&P 400 and HTH to S&P 600.

Barron’s + on TOL MMM +/- on GME INTC. Also, first week of the Roundtable.

Dividend Increases: 

Split Announcement: 

Raises Guidance: 

Lowers Guidance:

Stock Buyback New Or Increase: 

Insider Buys:

Erlanger Valuelines Action– Each day Erlanger Research through its Chart Room track resistance, pivot and support levels. HFT and Algo firms use these levels to trade and much can be learned from following the valuelines. Blue highlighting indicates above average volatility.


What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value. We will still indicate the fair value direction. 

S&P 500 +28   Dow Jones Industrial Average +219   NASDAQ +107    Russell 2000 +29. Fair values are lower. Asia higher ex Shanghai and Europe higher. VIX is at 25.45 from 24.90 this morning in futures. VIX closed at 24.34 from 22.21  and the three month futures at 27.26 from 25.55.

Gold, silver and copper higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures higher. Natural Gas is lower. $ is lower vs Euro, lower vs Pound and higher vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $136,75 from $136.81 with the yield at 1.10% no change.

Positive Sectors On Friday:  Real Estate, Utilities and Healthcare of note.

Negative Sectors On Friday:  Energy, Materials and Financials.

One Month Winners: Energy, Financials Real Estate and Industrials  of note.

Three Month Winners: Industrials, Communication Services, Utilities and Financials of note.

Six Month Winners: Consumer Cyclical, Industrials, Technology and Materials of note.

Twelve Month Winners: Technology, Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services and Healthcare of note.

Year to Date: Energy, Materials, Healthcare and Financials of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of: (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)

Today After the Close: NFLX, IBKR, JBHT, ZION, PNFP, PACW, FNB, UCBI, FULT of note.

Wednesday Before the Open: UNH, PG, ASML, MS, USB, BK, FAST, CFG, TDY, CBSH, BOKF of note.

Earnings This Morning Of Note:

Beats: GS +4.72, LOGI +1.11, CMA +0.30, CTXS +0.12, SCHW +0.10 ONB +0.08, BAC +0.05, HAL +0.04

Flat: PETS

Misses: STT (0.16)

Still to Report: SCHW

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart –  Updated 1/15 Close. Friday was a struggle.

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market:

Gap Up:

GRTS +45%, COHR +35%, MTCR +14%, SSP +9%, CYAD +8%, GRFS +8%, MRUS +7%, WU +7%, TRQ +6%, ALLT +5%, LOGI +4%, SOL +4%, SKYW +4%, FSM +4%

Gap Down:

PRPH -20%, BHVN -10%, AGIO -7%, LITE -7%, SENS -6%

Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story. 

Today’s Analyst Calls of note – FB DKNG PTON TSLA. (CNBC)

5 Things To Know Before The Open – (CNBC)

Stocks Making The Biggest Moves – GS BAC GE  (CNBC)

Covid Update – Germany finds another strain oc Covid-19, U.K. uses blockchain to track temperatures. (CNBC)

Republicans will fight the $1.9 Biden Stimulus Plan and 60 votes will be needed. (The Washington Post)

Once president, Biden on Wednesday will put forth Executive Orders dealing with mask mandate, student loans and the Paris Accord. (NYT)

Peloton (PTON) deliver delays are becoming a concern. (NYT)

Lumentum (LITE) looking to buy Coherent (COHR). (WSJ)

IEA cut oil demand outlook for 2021. (CNBC)

Stock Index Trading:

Current through 1/15 close. Overall confidence moves to 63% from 87%.

Bold means a change from prior day.


The Senate will hold the confirmation hearing of incoming Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Several other National Securtity and significant cabinet positions will start hearings as well.


Weekly API Petroleum Data is due out at 4:30 p.m. EST.

Investor Meetings & Conferences of Note:

FREQ HOG (Investor Event)  BHP (Update) UTHR CBIO KBR (Webinar)

Sellside: UBS Greater China Conference (1/18-1/22) Bank of America Energy, Battery, Storage Conference (1/19-1/20) Jefferies Winter Restaurant, Foodservice, Gaming. Lodging & Leisure Summit (1/19-1/20) Stifel Seniors Housing and Healthcare Real Estate Conference (1/19) Cannacord Canadian Tech (1/19)

Industry Conferences:

M&A Activity:

Upgrades & Downgrades of Note This Morning: Note that downgrades are increasing first two weeks of the year.


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