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"CAPIS Morning Note – 11/02/21: FOMC Begins Two Day Meeting"

posted by CAPIS on 11/02/2021 at 8:39 am

by CAPIS

11/02/2021 at 8:39 am

Overnight Summary: Markets are preparing for tomorrow’s FOMC announcement and moving into sideways action with the SP 500 down -4 points. China fell -1.1% and Japan fell -0.4%. Europe is having a more quiet trading day.

Earnings Out After The Close:

  • Beats: CAR +4.04, CACC +1.68, MCK +1.49, HOLX +0.61, SPG +0.60, PSA +0.39, SBAC +0.29, ANET +0.25, UNVR +0.20, CLX +0.20, CRUS +0.19, BRKR +0.19, OTTR +0.16, BCC +0.15, NTR +0.14, RHP +0.14, FANG +0.13, FN +0.12, SKT +0.12, VNOM +0.12, SNCY +0.10, VNO +0.08, KFRC +0.08, WMB +0.07, KMT +0.07, MGY +0.06, BRX +0.05, GXO +0.04, NSP +0.03, VRNS +0.03, HLIT +0.02, ZI +0.01
  • Flat: EVER +0.00, OGS +0.00, ADUS +0.00, O +0.00
  • Misses: NXPI (0.82), RMBS (0.30), NBIX (0.16), CHGG (0.14), MOS (0.13), BMS (0.11), ADTN (0.09), PLOW (0.09), LEG (0.06), RIG (0.04), BWXT (0.03)

Capital Raises:

  • IPOs Priced or News:
    • ABR: Public Offering of Common Stock 7.5Million shares for $147.8 million raise.
    • Weave Communications (WEAV) to launch 5 million share IPO with price between $25 and $28.
    • Backblaze (BLAZ)  launches 6.25 million share IPO with range of $15 to $17.
  • New SPACs launched:
    • SBEA: Black Rifle Coffee Company, a Rapidly Growing Premium Coffee Company and Lifestyle Brand with a Mission to Better the Lives of Veterans, Active-Duty Military and First Responders, to Go Public via Combination with SilverBox Engaged Merger Corp I
  • Secondaries Priced:
    • SURG 4.6M share Secondary priced at $4.30
  • Notes Priced of note:
    • PI: Proposed Private Offering of $225 Million of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2027
    • ABG: Private Offering of Senior Notes Due 2029 and Senior Notes Due 2032
    • MOH: Pricing of $750 Million of Senior Notes Due 2032
  • Common Stock filings/Notes:
    • ZI: Filed Form S-3ASR.. 10,287,643 Shares Common Stock
    • VRT: Commencement of Secondary Offering of 20,000,000 Shares of Common Stock
    • SHLX: Filed Form S-3ASR.. Common Units
  • Pricing of Over-Allotment: None of note.
  • Direct Offering: None of note.
  • Selling Shareholders of note: None  of note.
  • Private Placement of Public Entity (PIPE): None of note.
  • Mixed Shelf Offerings:
    • TARS: Filed Form S-3.. $300Million Mixed Security Shelf
    • AMST: Filed Form S-3.. $100Million Mixed Security Shelf
  • Convertible Offering & Notes Filed: None of note.
  • Note Offerings Filed:  None of note

Capital Raise Summary From The TradeXchange, bringing traders and investors real time news and Squawk Box, and other sources.

News After The Close:

  • After Hours:
    • Trading Up: ANET +13.8%, FN +13.7%, UNVR +9.9%, BCOV +7.9, CAR +5.1%, HLIT +5.1%, CLX +4.9%, SPG +4.6%, VNOM +2.9%, ZI +2.8%, MCK +2.6%, GXO +2.5%, FCX +2.3%,  SKT +2.1%, CNTX +2.0%
    • Trading Down: CHGG -27.7%, SMLR -23.9%, LEGN -9.8%, BWXT -9%, IVC -7.4%, NBIX -6.8%, LXU -6.5%, PNTG -5%, PLOW -4.7%, VRNS -4.7%, RIG -4.5%, ABR -3.8%, LEG -3.4%, RMBS -3.4%, EVER -3.1%, PI -3.1%, VRT -2.6%

What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value.

S&P 500 +3 Dow Jones Industrial Average +29 NASDAQ -21 Russell 2000 +5.28. Asia lower and Europe mixed. VIX is at 18.36 from 19.30 in futures from yesterday. Gold, silver and copper lower. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures lower. Natural Gas is lower. $ is higher vs Euro, higher vs Pound and lower vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $130.88 from $130.50 with yields at 1.554% from 1.587% yesterday morning. Bitcoin at $63,124 from $61,959 yesterday morning up +3% in early morning trading. As of 8:25 a.m. EDT.

Monday’s Action – 11/01 Close:  

  • Positive Sectors Monday: Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials, Real Estate, Financial, Utlitities
  • Negative Sectors Monday: Communication Services
  • One Month Winners: Consumer Cyclicals, Technology, Industrials of note.
  • Three Month Winners: Energy, Financials, and Technology of note.
  • Six Month Winners: Energy, Technology and Communication Services of note.
  • Twelve Month Winners: Energy, Financials and Technology of note.
  • Year to Date Winners: Energy, Financials, and Communication Services  of note.

Stocks were up with Small Cap jumping up 2.65%. Commodities were up but UNG pulled back 5.85%. Updated 11/01 Close.

Upcoming Earnings Of Note: (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)

  • Tuesday After the Close: TMUS, AMGN, MDLZ, ATVI, VRTX, PRU, VRSK, PAYC, AWK, OKE, DVN, CZR, ZG, STE, EIX, PKI, PEAK, AKAM, SEDG, EXAS, LYFT, DAR, AFG, FMC, DOX, LSI, AIZ, XPO, LSCC, TX, APPS, WU, VOYA, PAA, INSP, EXEL, SPT, DEI, SRC, UNM, HALO, AMED, CDK, NSA, PACB, AYX, BTG, COUR, RDN, HRB of note.
  • Wednesday Before the Open: CVS, HUM, EMR, EXC, MAR, HZNP, CDW, BIP, CVE, CRL, ETR, CTRA, ATH, JLL, DISCA, LAMR, BWA, SITE, NI, NCLH, NYT, SYNH, UTHR, SMG, CPRI, EXPI, NFE, CLH, HFC, WING, VIRT, LANC, SPR, LIVN, IONS, MAC, CIM, SHOO, PSN, CWH, PRG, AGIO, VSH, BDC, FUN, AVA, OMI, AAWW, PCRX, ODP, SBGI, MORF, EAT of note.

Earnings of Note This Morning:

  • Beats: BP +0.83, WLK +0.75, RL +0.62, APO +0.61, ZBRA +0.50, IT +0.47, LPX +0.45, INCY +0.43, HLNE +0.39, INGR +0.32, WAT +0.30, HEES +0.30, MTRN +0.26, PFE +0.25, COP +0.25, EXLS +0.24, CIGI +0.22, LDOS +0.18, ESPR +0.18, OMCL +0.17, EL +0.16, UAA +0.16, ROK +0.14, IART +0.14, IPGP +0.13, MMP +0.13, WEC +0.13, ARCB +0.13, IDXX +0.12, TECH +0.11, KKR +0.10, NRZ +0.09, AME +0.08, TRI +0.08, HSIC +0.07, MIME +0.06, PEG +0.06, SABR +0.05, EXTR +0.05, CTLT +0.05, PINC +0.04, MPLX +0.04, SEE +0.04, LGIH +0.04, GPN +0.03, XYL +0.03, MPC +0.03, XHR +0.03, WBT +0.03, TMX +0.03, BLMN +0.03, DD +0.03, ETN +0.02, RRX +0.02, EPD +0.01
  • Flat: DEA +0.00
  • Misses: IEP (0.66), BHC (0.54), ARNC (0.43), SAGE (0.35), CMI (0.24), SRCL (0.16), ROG (0.14), NXST (0.14), ETRN (0.11), BLD (0.09), CRSR (0.08), LEA (0.08), RCM (0.07), ACRS (0.07), LCII (0.06), HSC (0.05), GNRC (0.05), AVNS (0.04), IAA (0.03), MLM (0.02)
  • Still to Report: RACE, FI, MYGN, NNN, TNC

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart: Updated through 11/01 close.

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market:

  • Gap Up: ROG +29.5%, ANET +14.8%, UNVR +10%, FN +9.4%, ZI +8.2%, BCOV +6.7%, CAR +6.7%, TEVA +6.1%, CNTX +5.4%, KFRC +5.1%, HLIT +5%, ZENV +4.3%, SPG +4.2%, IT +4.1%, BRKR +3.4%, MCK +2.8%, VNOM +2.6%, GXO +2.4%, EXLS +2.4%, TCRR +2.2%, LPX +2.2%, INVZ +2.1%, ADUS +2.1%
  • Gap Down: CHGG -31.9%, SMLR -17.3%, EVER -9.1%, LEGN -8.9%, IVC -7.9%, BWXT -7.3%, NBIX -5.9%, PNTG -5%, GNRC -4.9%, VRNS -4.8%, RIG -4.8%, ADTN -4.8%, TSLA -4.6%, ABR -4%, DD -3.7%, CACC -3.7%, VRT -3.6%, RMBS -3.4%, BP -3.1%, PLOW -2.3%, ACAD -2.2%

Insider Action: No stocks sees Insider buying with dumb short selling and no stocks has smart short sellers with insider buys. 11/01 close

Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story.  Repeated stories from prior days never listed, i.e. “rehashed news”.

Moving Average Update:

  • Score remains at 100%. Updated 11/01 close.

Geopolitical: 

  • President’s Public Schedule:
    • The President delivers remarks on the U.S. plan to preserve global forests at the “Action on Forests and Land-Use” event (9:40 AM Local), Scottish Event Campus, Glasgow, United Kingdom, 5:40 a.m. EDT
    • The President participates in a meeting on the Build Back Better World initiative (11:15 AM Local), 7:15 a.m. EDT
    • The President delivers brief remarks at an event highlighting the progress of the Global Methane Pledge (1:00 PM Local), 9:00 a.m. EDT
    • The President delivers remarks at the “Accelerating Clean Technology Innovation and Deployment” event (2:30 PM Local), 10:30 a.m. EDT
    • The President holds a press conference (7:30 PM Local), 3:30 p.m. EDT
    • The President departs Edinburgh, United Kingdom en route Joint Base Andrews (9:55 PM Local), Edinburgh Airport, United Kingdom, 5:55 p.m. EDT
  • Fed Speakers:
    • None of note through Wednesday as the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets tomorrow and Wednesday.

Economic:

  • The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day meeting.
  • Redbook Sales 8:55 a.m. EDT
  • API Crude Oil Data 4:30 p.m. EDT

M&A Activity:

  • CRWD: CrowdStrike to Acquire SecureCircle to Enforce Zero Trust Data Protection
  • ME: 23andMe Announces the Closing of its Acquisition of Lemonaid Health
  • KFY: Korn Ferry Completes Acquisition of Lucas Group
  • DELL Dell completes planned spin-off of 81% equity ownership of VMware (VMW)
  • GNRC Generac to acquire ecobee, which makes smart thermostats for up to $770 mln in cash and stock
  • AZRE: OMERS Infrastructure Signs Agreement with Ares Management to Acquire 100% of Navisun LLC, Signals Entry into Distributed Generation Space
  • DD ROG Confirms be acquired by DuPont for $277/shr in ~$5.2B deal; DuPont announces intent to divest a substantial portion of its Mobility & Materials segment
  • FAT  – FAT Brands Inc. to Acquire Fazoli’s Restaurant Chain for $130 Million
  • UTZ Utz Brands to acquire the equity and certain real estate assets related to the operation of RW Garcia for $56 mln
  • DuPont (DD) to buy Rogers Corp (ROG) for $277 in cash.

Meeting & Conferences of Note:

  • Sellside Conferences: Credit Suisse China Investment Conference (11/1-5) Citi China Investor Conference (11/1-3) Bank of America China Conference (11/1-2) Goldman Sachs China Conference (11/1-5), Wolfe Research Wealth Symposium (11/2-3)
  • Company Meetings: MOTN
  • Investor/Analyst Day: PFE, VALN
  • Update: AEM
  • Industry Meetings: American Society of Nephrology (11/2-7), Swiss Mining Institute Forum (11/2-4) and SEMA (11/2-5)

Upgrades & Downgrades:

Today’s Recommendations:

Monday’s Recommendations:

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