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"CAPIS Morning Note – 11/19/21: Stocks Struggling As Austria Goes Into Lockdown Over Rising Covid-19 Cases. Can That Happen Here Fears Rise?"

posted by CAPIS on 11/19/2021 at 8:25 am

by CAPIS

11/19/2021 at 8:25 am

Overnight Summary: SP 500 was in positive territory until 4:00 a.m. EST but began to lose steam at 2:00 a.m. EST. It is now lower by -7 with a low of -13. Today is November Options Expiration so could be a volatile day. Be prepared. The market is suddenly concerned with the renewed strength of Covid-19 Delta as Austria moves to a lockdown starting next Monday. Asia was higher for the day as it closed before the Austria news really hit. Europe is lower on the Austria news and Germany’s hotter than expected PPI at 3.8% over estimates of 1.9%.

Earnings Out After The Close:

  • Beats: UGI +2.69, INTU +0.56, CAL +0.44, ROST +0.32, WDAY +0.24, WSM +0.22, ESE +0.07, PANW +0.07, GLOB +0.05, FTCH +0.02
  • Flat: none
  • Misses: POST (0.50), BECN (0.31), NUAN (0.11), WWD (0.04), AMAT (0.02)

Capital Raises:

  • IPOs Priced or News:
    • FinWise Bancorp (FINW) 3.5M share IPO priced at $10.50
    • Snow Lake Resources (LITM) 3.2M share IPO priced at $7.50
  • New SPACs launched:
    • Infinite Acquisition Corp. (NFNT) Announces Pricing of Upsized $240 Million Initial Public Offering.. 24,000,000 units at a price of $10.00 per unit
  • Secondaries Priced:
    • ALHC: Pricing of Secondary Offering.. 8 Million @$21
    • AQB: Pricing of the Public Secondary Offering of Common Stock by Selling Stockholders.. 11.2M @$2.10.. Opp. and LakeStreet bookmanagers
    • ARVL: Pricing and Upsize of Public Follow-on Offering.. 32,373,684 ordinary shares @$9.50
    • ECVT: Pricing of Secondary Offering .. 8Million @$9.50
    • KHC: Pricing of Secondary Offering of Common Stock
    • KRNT: Pricing of Upsized Public Offering of Ordinary Shares.. 2,645,953 ordinary shares @$151
    • ROVR: Rover Group Pricing of Secondary Offering..6 Million @$10
    • PRVA – Privia Health
    • SEMR – SEMRush Pricing of Secondary Offering..5 Million @$20.50
  • Notes Priced of note:
    • AFRM: Affirm Holdings, Inc. Announces Pricing of Upsized Private Offering of $1.5 Billion of 0% Convertible Senior Notes Due 2026
    • BBDC: Prices Public Offering of $350.0 Million 3.300% Unsecured Notes Due 2026
    • CAMT – Camtek Prices Public Offering of $175 million of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026.
    • CURO: Upsizing and Pricing of $250 Million of Senior Secured Notes
    • VLO: Pricing of Notes Offering
    • ARVL: Prices Public Offering of $$275 Million of Green Convertible Senior Notes due 2026.
  • Common Stock filings/Notes:
    • ADV: Filed Form 424B3.. Up to 11,244,988 Shares of Class A Common Stock Issuable Upon Exercise of Warrants
    • BKMT – Blackstone Mortgage Trust
    • BTX – Brooklyn Immuno Therapeutics
    • BXMT: Public Offering of Class A Common Stock.. 10,000,000 shares.. Citi, BAC, BCS, DB, JPM and WFC Bookmanagers
    • FOR: Filed Form 424B5.. Common Stock Having an Aggregate Offering Price of Up to $300,000,000
    • LTRY- Filed Form S-1.. Primary Offering of 30,125,000 Shares of Common Stock Secondary Offering of 25,394,798 Shares of Common Stock
    • RDHL: Underwritten Public Offering of American Depositary Shares.. Cantor bookmanager
  • Pricing of Over-Allotment: None of note.
  • Direct Offering:
    • KZR –  Kezar Life Sciences
  • Selling Shareholders of note:
    • GFL: Secondary Offering of 12,658,228 Subordinate Voting Shares by Selling Shareholders– JPM Underwriter
    • EQT: Pricing Of Offering Of Common Stock By Selling Shareholders 10,973,685 shares .. Citi and RBC Bookmanagers
    • NEP – NextEra Energy Partners
    • ROVR: Pricing of Follow-On Offering by Selling Stockholders.. 6,000,000 shares @$10
  • Private Placement of Public Entity (PIPE): None of note.
  • Mixed Shelf Offerings:
    • VICI: Filed Form S-3ASR.. Mixed Shelf
  • Convertible Offering & Notes Filed: None of note.
  • Note Offerings Filed: 
    • HCC: Proposed $350 Million Offering of Senior Secured Notes

Capital Raise Summary From The TradeXchange, bringing traders and investors real time news and Squawk Box, and other sources.

News After The Close:

  • After Hours: 
    • Trading Up: TUSK +35%, INTU +8%, XAIR +6%, NGVC +5%, PANW +4%, GLOB +3%, DDS +3%
    • Trading Down: CNTB -24%, FTCH -23%, AQB -20%, RDHL -12%, WDAY -9%, WSM -6%, MATW -5%, AMAT -5%, GFL -5%, EQT -4%, POST -4%, ROST -4%, BECN -3%
  • News Items:
  • Stock Split: None of note.
  • 13F Filing: None of note.
  • Exchange/Listing News: None of note
  • Buyback Announcements:
    • Element Solutions Inc (ESI) announces increase to stock repurchase authorization
    • United Comm Banks (UCBI)
    • UWM Holdings (UWMC)
  • Dividends Announcements:
    • Brown-Forman (BF.B)
    • CRI – Carters
    • Dillard’s, Inc. (DDS) announces special dividend of $15.00 per share
    • Element Solutions Inc (ESI) declares Q4 dividend of $0.08 per share
    • KeyCorp (KEY)
    • Motorola Solutions (MSI)
    • National Storage Affiliates (NSA)
    • Nike, Inc. (NKE) announces 11 percent increase in quarterly dividend
    • Natural Grocers (NGVC)
    • Pepsi Co (PEP)

What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value.

S&P 500 -13 Dow Jones Industrial Average -242 NASDAQ +80 Russell 2000 -35. Asia higher and Europe mixed. VIX is at 20.95 from 20.11 in futures from yesterday. Gold higher, silver lower and copper higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures lower. Natural Gas is lower. $ is higher vs Euro, higher vs Pound and lower vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $131.14 from $130.48  with yields at 1.522% from 1.601% yesterday morning. Bitcoin at $57,162 from $60,295 yesterday morning down -1.60% in early morning trading. As of 8:13 a.m. EST.

Thursday’s Action – 11/18 Close:  

  • Daily Positive SectorsTechnology of note.
  • Daily Negative SectorsFinancial, Basic Materials, Utilities, Energy, Healthcare. of note.
  • One Month Winners: Consumer Cyclical, Technology, Industrials of note.
  • Three Month Winners: Energy, Consumer Cyclical, and Technology of note.
  • Six Month Winners: Technology Communication Services, Consumer Cyclical of note.
  • Twelve Month Winners: Energy, Communication Services, and Technology of note.
  • Year to Date Winners: Energy, Technology, and Communication Services  of note.

Stocks ended mostly up with NDX leading the charge at +1.07%.  UNG do I dare venture…was tame at +0.43% for a change. Updated 11/18 Close.

   

Upcoming Earnings Of Note: (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)

  • Friday After the Close: none of note.
  • Monday Before the Open: TWST, ZH, KFY, AVYA of note.

Earnings of Note This Morning:

  • Beats: FL +0.56
  • Flat: none
  • Misses: none
  • Still to Report: none

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart: Updated through 11/18 close.

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market:

    • Gap Up: TUSK 30%, UWMC 25%, INTU 10%, GRCL 9%, LTRY 9%, SLI 8%, XAIR 7%, NGVC 5%, CAL 4%, DDS 3%, VXRT 3%, PANW 3%
    • Gap Down: AQB -27%, CNTB -26%, FTCH -22%, RDHL -10%, ECVT -10%, WSM -9%, WWD -8%, WDAY -8%, MATW -8%, AMAT -6%, GFL -5%, ROVR -4%, POST -4%, BECN -4%, BTX -3%, ROST -3%, EQT -3%

Insider Action: CLR sees Insider buying with dumb short selling and RPTX has smart short sellers with insider buys. 11/12 close

Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story.  Repeated stories from prior days never listed, i.e. “rehashed news”.

Moving Average Update:

  • Score decreases to 73% down from 76%. Updated 11/18 close.

 

Geopolitical: 

  • President’s Public Schedule:
    • Press Briefing by Press Secretary Jen Psaki, 1:00 p.m. EST
    • The President pardons the National Thanksgiving Turkey, Rose Garden, 3:15 p.m. EST
    • The President departs the White House en route Wilmington, Delaware, 6:20 p.m. EST

Economic

  • Quarterly Services 10:00 a.m. EST
  • Baker Hughes Rig Count 1:00 p.m. EST

Federal Reserve Speakers:

  • Federal Reserve Board of Governors Christopher Waller 10:45 a.m. EST
  • Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida 12:15 p.m. EST

M&A Activity

  • AAON Announces acquisition of BasX Solutions
  • Endeavor Group (EDR) acquire stake in Endeavor Content.
  • EverCommerce (EVCM) completes acquisition of DrChrono, leading cloud-based SaaS practice management and EHR Solution

Meeting & Conferences of Note:

  • Sellside Conferences:
    • Bernstein CGM Disruptors Conference 2021
    • Canaccord MedTech & Diagnostics Forum 
    • Deutsche Bank Lithium and Battery Supply Chain Conference
    • Deutsche Bank dbaccess Gaming, Lodging, Leisure and Restaurants Conference 2021 (11/18-11/19)
    • Jefferies 12th Annual London Global Healthcare Conference 2021 (11/15-11/19)
    • Morgan Stanley European Technology, Media & Telecom Conference 2021 (11/17-11/19)
    • Morgan Stanley 20th Annual Asia Pacific Summit 2021 (11/17-11/19)
    • UBS Aerospace Conference 
    • Wolfe Research Healthcare Conference 2021 (11/17-11/18)
  • Company Meetings: DCI, SYY
    • Fireside Chat: None of note.
  • Investor/Analyst Day: ALNY, CASA, VNT, WIT
  • Update: None of note
  • R&D Day: ALNY
  • Conference Call: None of note.
  • Company Event: CNHI
  • Industry Meetings:
    • American College of Toxicology 42nd Annual Meeting 2021 (11/10-11/19)
    • 26th Annual Meeting of the Society for Neuro-Oncology SNO 2021 (11/18-11/21)
    • Association for Molecular Pathology (AMP) Annual Meeting & Expo 2021 (11/16-11/20)
    • LA Auto Show 2021 (11/19-11/28)
    • Construction Owner’s Association of America COAA 2021 Fall Leadership Roundtable (11/17-11/19)

Top Tier Sell-side Upgrades & Downgrades:

The recommendations listed below in this “Upgrade/Downgrade” section are compiled from what we believe are Tier I, II and III firms. Recommendations posted are taken from a variety of sources each day and we only post upgrades or significant initiations as well as downgrades to underweight or sell. The purpose of this posting it to make the reader aware of market moving recommendations. None of these recommendations should be interpreted as actual recommendations from CAPIS or its employees.

Today’s Upgrades and Downgrades:

Thursday’s Upgrades and Downgrades:

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